Cup Paulista Segunda Ronda. Jor. 6

Taubaté vs EC São Bernardo analysis

Taubaté EC São Bernardo
51 ELO 48
-10.5% Tilt -10.3%
4250º General ELO ranking 4152º
146º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
55.7%
Taubaté
24.5%
Draw
19.7%
EC São Bernardo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
EC São Bernardo
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
-1%
+10%
EC São Bernardo

ELO progression

Taubaté
EC São Bernardo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2019
ATI
Atibaia
2 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
40%
26%
34%
53 52 1 0
14 Sep. 2019
FER
Ferroviária
2 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
53%
25%
22%
54 61 7 -1
07 Sep. 2019
TAU
Taubaté
3 - 2
Ferroviária
FER
27%
27%
47%
53 62 9 +1
05 Sep. 2019
TAU
Taubaté
0 - 0
Atibaia
ATI
38%
26%
36%
53 53 0 0
31 Aug. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
25%
25%
50%
53 45 8 0

Matches

EC São Bernardo
EC São Bernardo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 1
Ferroviária
FER
19%
24%
56%
47 61 14 0
14 Sep. 2019
ATI
Atibaia
1 - 2
EC São Bernardo
BER
59%
23%
18%
47 53 6 0
07 Sep. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 0
Atibaia
ATI
25%
25%
50%
46 53 7 +1
05 Sep. 2019
FER
Ferroviária
0 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
70%
20%
10%
45 62 17 +1
31 Aug. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
25%
25%
50%
45 53 8 0
X