Cup Paulista 1ra Ronda. Jor. 6

Taubaté vs Portuguesa analysis

Taubaté Portuguesa
52 ELO 48
-7.1% Tilt 0.8%
4260º General ELO ranking 2233º
147º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Taubaté
23.7%
Draw
18.8%
Portuguesa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
Portuguesa
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
-1%
+6%
Portuguesa

ELO progression

Taubaté
Portuguesa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2017
TAU
Taubaté
0 - 2
Água Santa
AGU
35%
26%
40%
54 57 3 0
19 Jul. 2017
POR
Portuguesa Santista
1 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
21%
24%
55%
54 44 10 0
15 Jul. 2017
TAU
Taubaté
0 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
24%
25%
51%
54 65 11 0
08 Jul. 2017
SAN
Santos B
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
14%
19%
67%
53 34 19 +1
01 Jul. 2017
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 1
CA Juventus
JUV
46%
26%
29%
54 54 0 -1

Matches

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2017
POR
Portuguesa
2 - 3
São Caetano
SAO
17%
23%
61%
47 66 19 0
19 Jul. 2017
SAN
Santos B
0 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
22%
24%
54%
47 33 14 0
16 Jul. 2017
POR
Portuguesa
3 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
30%
27%
43%
45 54 9 +2
08 Jul. 2017
NAC
Nacional SP
0 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
61%
22%
17%
45 53 8 0
05 Jul. 2017
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
Portuguesa Santista
POR
52%
26%
23%
44 45 1 +1
X