Taranto vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 2
TAR
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAT
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 1
FCC
33%
32%
36%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
TAR
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 3
USF
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 1
VIR
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 3
VIR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |