Taranto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 0
TAR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 3
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
MOD
3 - 2
TAR
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 3
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |