Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USF
2 - 0
TAR
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
FIA
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TAR
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
SIR
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 1
TAR
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
FON
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 1
AKR
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAT
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
REG
1 - 1
CAT
17%
26%
57%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
CAT
28%
30%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |