Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
TAR
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TAR
5 - 0
LAQ
64%
22%
13%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SAS
2 - 2
TAR
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 0
FER
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 1
TAR
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIS
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 1
CAT
27%
26%
48%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 3
LOD
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
PES
1 - 2
CAT
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FER
1 - 1
CAT
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |