Tamworth vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ROY
3 - 1
TAM
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 1
BAN
60%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
3 - 0
BIG
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
1 - 1
ROY
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
OXF
6 - 1
TAM
48%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NEE
2 - 1
LEI
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LEI
1 - 0
KIN
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 4
WOR
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
STI
1 - 0
LEI
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 3
BAR
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -1 |