Tamworth vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 1
TAM
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TAM
2 - 2
GLO
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 0
HED
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LOW
0 - 4
TAM
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
SOL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 2
GAI
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 1
STF
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CUR
3 - 0
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WRE
0 - 1
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 2
GAI
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |