Thailand vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
MAS
1 - 0
THA
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
THA
1 - 5
IDN
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
THA
0 - 2
AUS
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1983 |
GHA
2 - 1
THA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
CHN
2 - 1
THA
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
PNG
2 - 1
LBY
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1981 |
PNG
3 - 2
FIJ
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1980 |
NCL
8 - 0
PNG
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
11 - 2
PNG
87%
9%
5%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
PNG
4 - 3
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |