AFF Championship . Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Thailand vs Malasia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MYS
1 - 0
THA
11%
17%
72%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
THA
3 - 1
KHM
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 31 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
IDN
1 - 1
THA
17%
19%
64%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
PHL
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
BRN
0 - 5
THA
2%
9%
89%
|
70 | 19 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Malasia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MYS
1 - 0
THA
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
MYS
4 - 1
SGP
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
VNM
3 - 0
MYS
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
MYS
5 - 0
LAO
87%
11%
3%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MMR
0 - 1
MYS
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |