Thailand vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
THA
1 - 0
UZB
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
THA
6 - 5
NZL
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
THA
2 - 2
PRK
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
CHN
3 - 0
THA
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
THA
0 - 3
KWT
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
MMR
5 - 2
PHL
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
THA
3 - 1
PHL
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1998 |
IDN
3 - 0
PHL
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1998 |
KHM
1 - 1
PHL
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
SGP
1 - 0
PHL
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |