Taguatinga vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
DES
1 - 0
TAG
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
AME
1 - 0
TAG
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
TAG
3 - 1
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
TAG
2 - 1
CEN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
TAG
3 - 0
FLU
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
GOY
2 - 1
FLU
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 3
GOY
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
GOY
1 - 0
CEN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
CRB
1 - 2
GOY
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CON
2 - 1
GOY
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |