Sydney FC vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 1
NEW
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 0
SYD
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
MCI
0 - 1
SYD
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 0
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 2
WES
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
CCM
1 - 2
ADE
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ADE
1 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 2
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
WES
1 - 2
ADE
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |