Swindon Town vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 0
NOT
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 4
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 1
PLY
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 0
TRA
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PNE
2 - 1
SWI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 1
STE
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
WAL
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 2
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LEY
1 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |