Swindon Town vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
NOR
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
SWI
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 0
BRO
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
SWI
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 0
ALD
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |