Swindon Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EXE
3 - 1
SWI
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 3
SWI
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 1
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
CUM
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 2
CRA
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 1
CUM
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |