Swindon Town vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 3
SWI
27%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
SWI
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
0 - 2
SHE
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
SWI
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
ROC
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
COV
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
DON
0 - 0
BUR
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STF
0 - 1
BUR
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
MID
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |