League Two . Jor. 24

Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon analysis

Swindon Town AFC Wimbledon
63 ELO 50
1.6% Tilt -5%
2797º General ELO ranking 1777º
93º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Swindon Town
19.2%
Draw
12%
AFC Wimbledon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
Swindon Town
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swindon Town
+1%
-10%
AFC Wimbledon

ELO progression

Swindon Town
AFC Wimbledon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 2011
NOR
Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
19%
26%
56%
63 46 17 0
26 Dec. 2011
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
37%
27%
36%
63 58 5 0
17 Dec. 2011
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 0
Morecambe
MOR
63%
21%
16%
63 55 8 0
10 Dec. 2011
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
25%
27%
48%
63 51 12 0
06 Dec. 2011
SOU
Southend United
1 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
47%
25%
28%
62 64 2 +1

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 2011
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 4
Southend United
SOU
32%
26%
42%
52 60 8 0
26 Dec. 2011
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Oxford United
OXF
50%
25%
25%
53 54 1 -1
17 Dec. 2011
ROT
Rotherham United
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
46%
25%
29%
54 54 0 -1
10 Dec. 2011
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
56%
23%
20%
55 53 2 -1
03 Dec. 2011
BRA
Bradford City
3 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
29%
24%
47%
56 48 8 -1
X