Swindon Town vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 1
POS
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 3
CRA
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
SHW
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 0
SWI
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
MKD
2 - 0
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BOU
0 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 0
YEO
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LEY
2 - 2
BOU
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |