Swansea City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SWA
0 - 0
REA
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
QPR
0 - 2
SWA
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DER
2 - 0
SWA
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
HUR
2 - 0
WAT
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BIR
0 - 1
WAT
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 0
ROT
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |