Swansea City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
BIR
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
TIV
3 - 4
SWA
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
REA
0 - 4
SWA
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SWA
0 - 2
BRO
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
SWA
7%
14%
79%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
STE
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 3
NOR
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
KID
2 - 2
NOR
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOR
11%
19%
70%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
BIR
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |