Unter-Flockenbach vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
17º
15º
41
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 58 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
18 | 18 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
64% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
SUF
56%
19%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
EWM
3 - 3
SUF
12%
15%
73%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
SUF
9%
12%
79%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUF
3 - 0
FFV
89%
8%
4%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BGW
3 - 3
SUF
9%
13%
78%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
WAL
26%
20%
55%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
6 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAU
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 0
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |