Oberliga Hessen round 2

Unter-Flockenbach vs Marburg analysis

Unter-Flockenbach Marburg
33 ELO 25
6.1% Tilt 23.4%
6995º General ELO ranking 7621º
355º Country ELO ranking 382º
ELO win probability
66%
Unter-Flockenbach
16.9%
Draw
17.1%
Marburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
Unter-Flockenbach
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17.1%
Win probability
Marburg
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unter-Flockenbach
-51%
+24%
Marburg

Points and table prediction

Unter-Flockenbach
Their league position
Marburg
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
17º
15º
41
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fernwald
70
70
100%
Bayern Alzenau
67
67
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
65
66
100%
Türkgücü Friedberg
65
65
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
60
61
100%
Darmstadt 98 II
59
59
100%
KSV Baunatal
54
58
52.5%
Hünfelder SV
57
57
52.5%
Eddersheim
52
53
100%
Waldgirmes
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Hanauer SC 1960
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Adler Weidenhausen
12º
46
46
12º
100%
FC Hanau 93
13º
45
46
13º
100%
Marburg
14º
41
42
14º
64%
Unter-Flockenbach
15º
41
41
15º
64%
Wolfhagen
16º
38
38
16º
100%
SV Steinbach 1920
17º
32
34
17º
100%
Hornau
18º
28
28
18º
100%
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
19º
18
18
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Unter-Flockenbach
Marburg
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
36% 64%
Relegation
64% 36%

ELO progression

Unter-Flockenbach
Marburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unter-Flockenbach
Unter-Flockenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
FER
Fernwald
3 - 0
Unter-Flockenbach
SUF
56%
19%
26%
34 39 5 0
30 May. 2024
EWM
Eintr. Wald-Michelbach
3 - 3
Unter-Flockenbach
SUF
12%
15%
73%
35 20 15 -1
18 May. 2024
ROD
JSK Rodgau
1 - 2
Unter-Flockenbach
SUF
9%
12%
79%
35 16 19 0
11 May. 2024
SUF
Unter-Flockenbach
3 - 0
FFV Sportfreunde 1904
FFV
89%
8%
4%
34 7 27 +1
05 May. 2024
BGW
Bornheim GW
3 - 3
Unter-Flockenbach
SUF
9%
13%
78%
34 16 18 0

Matches

Marburg
Marburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
4 - 0
Marburg
MAR
75%
14%
11%
26 43 17 0
04 Jul. 2024
MAR
Marburg
2 - 2
Waldgirmes
WAL
26%
20%
55%
26 32 6 0
01 Jun. 2024
TUR
Türkgücü Friedberg
6 - 2
Marburg
MAR
77%
15%
9%
26 49 23 0
25 May. 2024
MAR
Marburg
1 - 1
KSV Baunatal
BAU
18%
19%
63%
25 42 17 +1
17 May. 2024
HUN
Hünfelder SV
2 - 0
Marburg
MAR
73%
15%
12%
26 38 12 -1