Austria Fourth Division Carintia Round 23

St. Jakob vs Ferlach analysis

St. Jakob Ferlach
23 ELO 24
-5.5% Tilt -0.4%
10474º General ELO ranking 9156º
229º Country ELO ranking 198º
ELO win probability
37.6%
St. Jakob
21.7%
Draw
40.7%
Ferlach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
St. Jakob
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
40.7%
Win probability
Ferlach
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Jakob
-43%
-58%
Ferlach

ELO progression

St. Jakob
Ferlach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Jakob
St. Jakob
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2019
SVJ
St. Jakob
2 - 0
SAK Klagenfurt
KLA
24%
20%
56%
21 28 7 0
18 Apr. 2019
SPI
Spittal
2 - 2
St. Jakob
SVJ
73%
15%
12%
21 27 6 0
13 Apr. 2019
SVJ
St. Jakob
0 - 2
Treibach
TRE
17%
17%
67%
22 31 9 -1
07 Apr. 2019
GMD
ASKÖ Gmünd
4 - 3
St. Jakob
SVJ
43%
23%
35%
22 22 0 0
30 Mar. 2019
SVJ
St. Jakob
2 - 4
St. Michael
MIC
80%
13%
7%
23 16 7 -1

Matches

Ferlach
Ferlach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2019
FLC
Ferlach
1 - 4
Maria Saal
MSA
52%
21%
27%
26 25 1 0
18 Apr. 2019
KLA
SAK Klagenfurt
1 - 0
Ferlach
FLC
53%
21%
26%
26 27 1 0
13 Apr. 2019
FLC
Ferlach
1 - 1
ASKO Wolfnitz
ASW
82%
11%
7%
27 18 9 -1
05 Apr. 2019
SPI
Spittal
2 - 1
Ferlach
FLC
45%
22%
33%
27 26 1 0
30 Mar. 2019
FLC
Ferlach
4 - 1
Lind
SVL
78%
13%
9%
27 20 7 0