Hillegom vs Uitgeest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
9º
14
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 2
HIL
6%
11%
83%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 3
RKS
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IVV
2 - 0
HIL
5%
10%
85%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
AGB
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +4 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 2
KAM
14%
18%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Uitgeest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UIT
1 - 1
ASS
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LSV
3 - 2
UIT
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UIT
0 - 4
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDZ
5 - 1
UIT
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
DSO
2 - 2
UIT
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |