Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 2
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
UFC
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
RCA
1 - 0
EST
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
BUB
1 - 2
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EST
3 - 3
NAC
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
5 - 2
FAM
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FAM
9 - 0
UFC
88%
8%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BUB
2 - 4
FAM
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |