Estrella Papilon vs Deportivo Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
BUB
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 3
EST
17%
19%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 3
FAM
85%
10%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
RCA
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 2
EST
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 2
RIV
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
8%
15%
77%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 1
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
RCA
2 - 1
NAC
37%
23%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
BRA
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |