Eintracht Hohkeppel vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
5º
1º
0
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Hohkeppel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
USC
77%
14%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 1
SPF
57%
21%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
SVE
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 1
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VFL
0 - 1
SVE
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 3
H05
10%
15%
74%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 0
BGP
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 3
BFR
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FVE
3 - 1
BGP
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
BGP
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |