Nacional vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SVC
1 - 7
NAC
24%
24%
53%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
DAK
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 1
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 1
RIV
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
BRI
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 0
SVC
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BUB
0 - 1
BRI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |