FC Grimma vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
15º
12º
29
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 68 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 56 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 47 |
6º
|
92.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 24 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 0
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
0 - 1
LFC
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVG
2 - 1
EWD
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SVG
0 - 0
SVA
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 3
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
3 - 0
BUD
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
BIS
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUD
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 3
AUE
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |