Sutton United vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
WEL
3 - 2
SUT
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WEY
1 - 1
SUT
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
SUT
2 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SUT
0 - 0
BIS
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
HAY
1 - 0
SUT
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 2
LEW
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
LEW
0 - 0
WEY
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LEW
1 - 2
HOR
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
HAV
2 - 1
LEW
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LEW
2 - 1
BIS
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |