Sutton United vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HEN
1 - 2
SUT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
SUT
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SUT
4 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
STA
3 - 0
SUT
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 1
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 0
BOG
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 1
ASH
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 0
CAN
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 0
HEY
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TOO
3 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |