FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 2-4
Sutton Athletic vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SUA
6 - 0
ASH
29%
20%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SUA
3 - 2
DEA
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
FLA
38%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
OXH
0 - 4
FLA
12%
16%
73%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 2
NOR
61%
18%
21%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
DID
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
5 - 0
BUR
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |