CONCACAF Cup U20 Caribbean Preliminary Round Final

Global 3-4

Surinam U20 vs Aruba U20 analysis

Surinam U20 Aruba U20
29 ELO 27
1.6% Tilt -0.4%
39208º General ELO ranking 27965º
38º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Surinam U20
20.4%
Draw
20.5%
Aruba U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
Surinam U20
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.5%
Win probability
Aruba U20
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Surinam U20
+35%
-42%
Aruba U20

ELO progression

Surinam U20
Aruba U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Surinam U20
Surinam U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2002
TTO
Trinidad y Tobago U20
4 - 0
Surinam U20
SUR
72%
16%
12%
28 44 16 0
19 Jul. 2002
SUR
Surinam U20
2 - 1
Barbados U20
BAR
61%
20%
19%
28 26 2 0
17 Jul. 2002
SUR
Surinam U20
2 - 1
Curazao U20
CUR
56%
22%
23%
27 30 3 +1
09 Jun. 2002
GUY
Guyana U20
0 - 0
Surinam U20
SUR
53%
22%
25%
27 23 4 0
02 Jun. 2002
SUR
Surinam U20
4 - 0
Guyana U20
GUY
60%
20%
20%
26 24 2 +1

Matches

Aruba U20
Aruba U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2002
CUR
Curazao U20
3 - 0
Aruba U20
ARU
60%
20%
20%
28 29 1 0
02 Jun. 2002
ARU
Aruba U20
1 - 0
Curazao U20
CUR
54%
22%
24%
27 30 3 +1
19 Nov. 2000
PRI
Puerto Rico U20
3 - 2
Aruba U20
ARU
73%
16%
11%
26 41 15 +1
17 Nov. 2000
HAI
Haiti U20
3 - 0
Aruba U20
ARU
78%
14%
9%
27 48 21 -1
15 Nov. 2000
CUB
Cuba U20
8 - 2
Aruba U20
ARU
77%
14%
9%
27 50 23 0