Sun Pegasus Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PEG
5 - 1
GUA
92%
6%
3%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
PEG
3 - 5
RNG
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
HVR
3 - 3
PEG
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
YLO
2 - 1
PEG
64%
17%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 0
PEG
24%
19%
57%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
4 - 1
YLO
27%
19%
54%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
WTP
0 - 3
SOU
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
SOU
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
KIT
6 - 0
SOU
60%
19%
22%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 0
PEG
24%
19%
57%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |