Sweden U21 vs Serbia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
SWE
4 - 2
HRV
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
EST
0 - 3
SWE
8%
16%
76%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
HRV
1 - 1
SWE
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
KOR
3 - 2
SWE
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 0
SRB
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MNE
1 - 2
SRB
16%
20%
64%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 0
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SRB
3 - 1
SVN
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
IRL
1 - 3
SRB
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |