CHAN . 1/16
Global 0-7
Eswatini vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
SWZ
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ZWE
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NER
0 - 0
SWZ
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 0
SWZ
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
COD
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ZMB
1 - 3
ZWE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
ZMB
4 - 2
TZA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BWA
1 - 2
ZMB
22%
26%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
ZAF
1 - 2
ZMB
55%
27%
18%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZMB
0 - 1
MOZ
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |