Eswatini vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 1
SWZ
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 2
BWA
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 2
SDN
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COG
0 - 1
SDN
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GHA
3 - 1
COG
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 3
GHA
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
COG
3 - 1
SWZ
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 0
COG
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |