Dives vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
10º
41
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 2
GRQ
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 1
DIV
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DIV
0 - 0
LEH
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 1
DIV
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DIV
3 - 1
AGC
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GON
4 - 1
CHE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGC
4 - 0
CHE
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALE
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRQ
1 - 2
CHE
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 2
CHE
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |