Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
6º
4º
6
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 35 |
1º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 35 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 33 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 32 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 32 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 32 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 30 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 30 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 27 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 27 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
61.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
38.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
STR
2 - 3
STR
23%
24%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
LAS
0 - 2
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BIS
0 - 4
STR
11%
16%
73%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
HSV
16%
19%
65%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VOI
0 - 3
STR
18%
20%
62%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
2 - 2
DUN
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 0
FCB
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
RAP
4 - 2
DEC
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
WIN
0 - 1
RAP
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
DEC
0 - 2
RAP
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |