Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
3º
27
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
37 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
WOL
1 - 1
STR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
STR
1 - 1
VOI
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
STR
4 - 2
LAS
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 2
STR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
RBS
3 - 1
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 2
RBS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 1
FAC
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
3 - 0
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
2 - 1
BBL
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HAR
2 - 1
RAP
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |