Austrian Bundesliga round 24

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis

Sturm Graz Rapid Wien
71 ELO 74
-10.5% Tilt -6.2%
508º General ELO ranking 572º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
48.1%
Sturm Graz
28.4%
Draw
23.5%
Rapid Wien

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
23.5%
Win probability
Rapid Wien
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sturm Graz
+14%
-5%
Rapid Wien

ELO progression

Sturm Graz
Rapid Wien
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 1976
LIN
FC Linz
0 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
57%
25%
18%
70 73 3 0
20 Mar. 1976
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 3
FC Wacker Innsbruck
WAC
37%
28%
35%
71 80 9 -1
16 Mar. 1976
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
86%
9%
5%
71 87 16 0
12 Mar. 1976
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Grazer AK
GRA
57%
25%
18%
71 65 6 0
05 Mar. 1976
AUS
Austria Wien
3 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
69%
19%
12%
72 77 5 -1

Matches

Rapid Wien
Rapid Wien
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 1976
RAP
Rapid Wien
4 - 1
Austria Wien
AUS
53%
23%
24%
74 78 4 0
20 Mar. 1976
LAS
LASK
2 - 3
Rapid Wien
RAP
51%
27%
23%
74 65 9 0
13 Mar. 1976
RAP
Rapid Wien
4 - 1
Austria Klagenfurt
AUK
83%
13%
5%
73 59 14 +1
06 Mar. 1976
RAP
Rapid Wien
0 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
66%
20%
15%
74 66 8 -1
28 Feb. 1976
0 - 0
Rapid Wien
RAP
55%
25%
20%
74 69 5 0