Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
2º
24
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 9 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 2
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
LAS
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
RAP
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
SKA
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 3
AUS
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RBS
3 - 3
AUS
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 2
LAS
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
RAP
42%
24%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |