Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/16
Global 1-2
Sturm Graz vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
WIE
2 - 1
STR
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
STR
2 - 1
WAT
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
STR
3 - 0
ILV
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
SIM
0 - 0
STR
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ILV
4 - 2
STR
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
ARS
4 - 0
EVE
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
ARS
4 - 0
NTT
69%
20%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
STO
5 - 0
ARS
37%
28%
35%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
LAZ
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |