UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-5
Sturm Graz vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
STR
3 - 2
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ASV
0 - 2
STR
5%
12%
83%
|
82 | 34 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
KAP
83%
13%
5%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
KRA
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 0
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 3
AND
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 3
FCN
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |