Sturm Graz II vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
LBN
1 - 0
STU
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
STU
1 - 2
KLA
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 1
STU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
GKN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
STF
1 - 1
STU
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KLA
1 - 0
WEL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
GKN
18%
23%
60%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
VOC
0 - 3
WEL
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 4
SKA
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
WEL
0 - 1
GRA
12%
19%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |