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Highland Football League Scotland. Matchday 12

Strathspey Thistle vs Brora Rangers analysis

Strathspey Thistle Brora Rangers
3 ELO 12
-63% Tilt 344%
13442º General ELO ranking 9714º
129º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
0.8%
Strathspey Thistle
2.5%
Draw
96.7%
Brora Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
0.8%
Win probability
Strathspey Thistle
0.49
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
0.2%
2-1
0.3%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
0.6%
2.5%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
2.5%
96.7%
Win probability
Brora Rangers
4.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
11.1%
1-5
5.2%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17.5%
0-5
10.8%
1-6
4.2%
2-7
0.7%
3-8
0.1%
-5
15.8%
0-6
8.7%
1-7
2.9%
2-8
0.4%
3-9
0%
-6
12.1%
0-7
6%
1-8
1.8%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
8.1%
0-8
3.7%
1-9
1%
2-10
0.1%
-8
4.7%
0-9
2%
1-10
0.5%
2-11
0.1%
-9
2.5%
0-10
1%
1-11
0.2%
2-12
0%
-10
1.2%
0-11
0.4%
1-12
0.1%
-11
0.5%
0-12
0.2%
1-13
0%
-12
0.2%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brora Rangers
9
37
31%
Fraserburgh
9
39
27%
Buckie Thistle
6
37
26%
Formartine United
6
33
24%
Inverurie Loco Works
6
32
22%
Keith
3
19
8%
Rothes
3
16
10º
10%
Huntly
2
14
12º
9%
Lossiemouth
1
15
11º
9%
Deveronvale
10º
1
11
13º
8%
Strathspey Thistle
11º
0
4
15º
8%
Clachnacuddin
12º
0
22
8%
Nairn County
13º
0
11
14º
10%
Wick Academy
14º
0
21
7%
Fort William
15º
0
4
16º
10%
Turriff United
16º
0
16
9%
Expected probabilities
Strathspey Thistle
Brora Rangers
Champion
0% 31%
Mid-table
100% 69%

ELO progression

Strathspey Thistle
STR
Brora Rangers
BRO
Huntly
HUN
Clachnacuddin
CLA
Buckie Thistle
BUC
Keith
KEI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Strathspey Thistle
Strathspey Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO STR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2020
STR
Strathspey Thistle
0 - 4
Buckie Thistle
BUC
41%
28%
31%
52 156 -104 -14

Matches

Brora Rangers
Brora Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO BRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2021
CAM
Camelon Juniors
1 - 2
Brora Rangers
BRO
60%
22%
18%
159 674 515 +12
23 Mar. 2021
BRO
Brora Rangers
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
22%
24%
54%
158 1266 -1108 0
19 Dec. 2020
FOR
Fort William
0 - 10
Brora Rangers
BRO
41%
28%
31%
157 38 -119 +1