Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
10º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
SPA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
CLY
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CLY
2 - 0
DUM
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 0
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |