SC Telstar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
BVV
2 - 1
TEL
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TEL
0 - 2
HEL
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
TEL
0 - 1
SPA
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 4
TEL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TEL
1 - 2
APE
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ADO
3 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |