Storm vs Central Florida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
81.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Storm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
STO
0 - 1
NAU
6%
13%
82%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
STO
3 - 5
MIA
6%
12%
82%
|
8 | 40 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MDL
10 - 0
STO
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
STO
1 - 3
BRA
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CFL
6 - 0
STO
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Central Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MDL
4 - 1
CFL
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CFL
2 - 2
BRA
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CFL
3 - 1
MIA
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +6 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
CFL
1 - 2
MDL
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
CFL
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |