Stolem Gniewino vs Unia Swarzędz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
18º
13º
44
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stolem Gniewino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 2
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STO
3 - 2
JAR
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIN
2 - 0
STO
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STO
3 - 1
SOK
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
USK
1 - 1
STO
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Unia Swarzędz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
USW
1 - 3
GGD
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
USW
87%
10%
3%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USW
0 - 0
PSR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
USW
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
USW
1 - 0
UNI
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |